Dollar, Yen, and Swiss Franc May Weaken in 2009
Accord
ing to Bloomberg the dollar, yen, and Swiss franc may weaken against some of 2008’
s biggest losers in Forex markets. Get out your Forex converters because some of the projected winners in 2009 are relative unknowns. Projected winners include the Brazilian real, Indonesian Rupiah and Polish zloty.
Risk Appetite Returning
These currencies are expected to gain as investors consult their Forex converters and seek higher yielding assets in 2009. According to Bloomberg the dollar may strengthen against the euro and Japanese yen, while dropping against the British pound. Maxime Tessier, head of foreign exchange in Montreal at Caisse de Depost et Placement du Quebec stated, “Our strategy for 2009 is to gradually increase risk, A year from now, I definitely want to be on the short side on the dollar. We’ll see capital flows out of the U.S. again.”
IMF Reduces 2009 Growth Forecast
The International Monetary Fund reduced its 2009 growth forecast from 3.9% to 2.2%. Despite this projection investors are growing more confident as central banks lower interest rates and governments inject trillions to stimulate the economy. In a statement that will prompt traders and investors to consult their Forex converters Mark Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management Ltd. in Singapore, stated, “The U.S. dollar will get weaker versus emerging-market currencies. The reason why we had this weakness in emerging-market currencies is because of the rush into the U.S. Treasuries, into dollars. I don’t think that’s sustainable.”
Obama Stimulus May Support Dollar
The stimulus package proposed by the incoming Obama administration may support the dollar somewhat and will help the US economy recover quicker than those of Europe and Japan. Bloomberg also predicts that developing economies will grow 3.1 % in 2009 while developed countries, including the U.S., the euro area and Japan, will contract 1.4 %.
2009 To Be an Exciting Year
One prediction that is sure to send traders and investors scurrying to their Forex converters is that the currencies of Poland, Brazil and Indonesia will be among the best performers. 2009 promises to be an exciting year for Forex traders and investors!



